Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 67.114858 75.856471 84.837272 94.721072 105.261668 116.136636 128.174825
2025-03-30 54.613568 67.198110 80.742518 96.271538 113.457299 131.778590 152.672859
2025-04-06 45.846106 60.348169 76.526439 95.639809 117.347968 141.006141 168.514107
2025-04-13 38.182080 53.701861 71.619915 93.378411 118.663848 146.746483 179.931500
2025-04-20 35.021278 51.897203 71.903071 96.697941 125.992442 158.963620 198.362967
2025-04-27 31.794724 49.624913 71.313355 98.716743 131.590459 169.038045 214.233604
2025-05-04 27.831840 46.021676 68.777203 98.120191 133.878459 175.111239 225.371054
2025-05-11 24.265693 42.589100 66.170203 97.188801 135.560339 180.314417 235.368319
2025-05-18 21.821386 40.436754 65.006272 97.886088 139.079779 187.584265 247.702689
2025-05-25 19.200217 37.786550 62.998635 97.355312 140.966716 192.816257 257.568523
2025-06-01 17.190401 35.828610 61.764536 97.692206 143.830963 199.150625 268.690198
2025-06-08 14.936975 33.281316 59.559624 96.626652 144.831068 203.150753 276.969965
2025-06-15 13.672670 32.183500 59.325639 98.156610 149.144608 211.254612 290.280297
2025-06-22 12.596085 31.286712 59.312110 99.941312 153.767265 219.743939 304.084454
2025-06-29 10.956283 29.269923 57.554452 99.264654 155.148653 224.184066 312.950566
2025-07-06 9.094005 26.629427 54.708129 96.956862 154.304538 225.780873 318.293031
2025-07-13 8.754713 26.726661 55.968311 100.350485 160.928021 236.712475 335.070279
2025-07-20 8.145602 26.245576 56.300597 102.414381 165.786720 245.431668 349.146878
2025-07-27 7.035323 24.644826 54.797268 101.804558 167.048066 249.586478 357.585287
2025-08-03 5.979902 22.995223 53.111613 100.852414 167.791885 253.044321 365.133886
2025-08-10 5.326860 22.108679 52.602015 101.565248 170.750482 259.306645 376.159519
2025-08-17 4.536203 20.779257 51.278781 101.022641 171.963284 263.308893 384.354756
2025-08-24 3.961116 19.857037 50.581569 101.367047 174.359754 268.816709 394.427105